Burnley vs Liverpool: Match Preview & Prediction

Burnley

Season Form

L W L

Match Finished

0 - 1

Liverpool

Season Form

W W W

Lineups

Burnley

Starting XI

1Martin Dúbravka
2Kyle Walker
29Josh Laurent
18Hjalmar Ekdal
5Maxime Estève
3Quilindschy Hartman
17Loum Tchaouna
24Josh Cullen
8Lesley Ugochukwu
11Jaidon Anthony
9Lyle Foster

Subs

16Florentino Luís
28Hannibal Mejbri
4Joe Worrall
27Armando Broja
13Max Weiss
12Bashir Humphreys
23Lucas Pires
10Marcus Edwards
19Zian Flemming

Coach

Scott Matthew Parker

Liverpool

Starting XI

1Alisson
8Dominik Szoboszlai
5Ibrahima Konaté
4Virgil van Dijk
6Miloš Kerkez
38Ryan Gravenberch
10Alexis Mac Allister
11Mohamed Salah
7Florian Wirtz
18Cody Gakpo
22Hugo Ekitiké

Subs

26Andrew Robertson
12Conor Bradley
14Federico Chiesa
30Jeremie Frimpong
73Rio Ngumoha
25Giorgi Mamardashvili
2Joe Gomez
3Wataru Endo
42Trey Nyoni

Coach

Arne Slot

Match Events

90' (+7' added time)

M. Salah (pen.)

90' + 5 '

16'

L. Ugochukwu
22'

M. Kerkez
38'

out: M. Kerkez

in: A. Robertson
46'

out: A. Mac Allister

in: C. Bradley
63'

out: J. Cullen

in: Florentino
63'

out: L. Tchaouna

in: H. Mejbri
72'

out: H. Ekitike

in: F. Chiesa
75'

C. Bradley
84'

L. Ugochukwu
84'

L. Ugochukwu
86'

out: L. Foster

in: J. Worrall
87'

out: F. Wirtz

in: R. Ngumoha
87'

out: I. Konate

in: J. Frimpong
89'

out: J. Anthony

in: A. Broja

Round 4

Sun 14 Sep 2025, 16:00

Turf Moor, Burnley

Michael Oliver, England

Head-to-Head Comparison

Burnley

Liverpool

Strength

25%

75%
Attacking Potential

33%

67%
Defensive Potential

40%

60%
Strength head-to-head

0%

100%
Goals head-to-head

8%

92%
Wins head-to-head

26.5%

73.5%
Poisson Distribution

100%

0%

Last 5 Head-to-Head Meetings

Round 24

2024-02-10

Anfield

T. Robinson

Liverpool

3 - 1

Burnley
Round 19

2023-12-26

Turf Moor

P. Tierney

Burnley

0 - 2

Liverpool
Round 25

2022-02-13

Turf Moor

M. Atkinson

Burnley

0 - 1

Liverpool
Round 2

2021-08-21

Anfield

M. Dean

Liverpool

2 - 0

Burnley
Round 37

2021-05-19

Turf Moor

C. Kavanagh

Burnley

0 - 3

Liverpool

Some may disagree, but I believe that the game between last season’s Premier League champions and the newly promoted side could be one of the most intriguing fixtures of round four. On September 14, Burnley will host Liverpool.

There’s hardly anything to say about Liverpool except praise: they dominated last season, finishing well ahead of all competitors. The Reds also started this campaign perfectly: three games, three wins, and a 100% record.

Burnley, on the other hand, returned to the Premier League this season after promotion from the Championship. The team is eager to prove itself at the top level.

The first three rounds have already shown a pattern: Burnley feel far more comfortable at home. They secured a 2–0 win over Sunderland at Turf Moor but lost both away matches to Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United.

Burnley vs Liverpool: Best Odds

⚽ ️ Bookmaker	⚡️ Burnley Win	💎 Liverpool Win
⚽ ️ TAB	7.75	1.32
⚽ ️ 20Bet	8.60	1.35
⚽ ️ Bet 365	8.00	1.33
⚽ ️ Stake	8.40	1.35
⚽ ️ 22Bet	8.80	1.34

Prediction for the Burnley vs Liverpool

Despite Liverpool being the obvious favorite, I don’t expect an easy walk for them. Burnley are highly motivated and strong on home soil.

The newcomers will likely sit deep in defense from the start, while the champions will push hard to break through. Still, the class difference should decide the outcome in the end, so the logical bet here is a Liverpool win.