Burnley vs Leeds United: Match Preview & Prediction

Burnley

Season Form

L W L L D L L

Match Finished

2 - 0

Leeds United

Season Form

W L D L W D L

Lineups

Burnley

Starting XI

1M. Dubravka
2K. Walker
6A. Tuanzebe
5M. Esteve
3Q. Hartman
24J. Cullen
16Florentino
7J. Bruun Larsen
8L. Ugochukwu
11J. Anthony
19Z. Flemming

Subs

13M. Weiss
10M. Edwards
17L. Tchaouna
18H. Ekdal
23Lucas Pires
27A. Broja
28H. Mejbri
29J. Laurent
35A. Barnes

Coach

Scott Matthew Parker

Leeds

Starting XI

26K. Darlow
2J. Bogle
6J. Rodon
5P. Struijk
3G. Gudmundsson
8S. Longstaff
4E. Ampadu
18A. Stach
11B. Aaronson
9D. Calvert-Lewin
20J. Harrison

Subs

1Lucas Perri
24J. Justin
15J. Bijol
23S. Bornauw
44I. Gruev
22A. Tanaka
7D. James
14L. Nmecha
10J. Piroe

Coach

Daniel Farke

Match Events

L. Ugochukwu

assist: K. Walker

18 '

L. Tchaouna

assist: Florentino

68 '

90' (+8' added time)

52'

Jaidon Anthony
58'

out: J. Bruun Larsen

in: L. Tchaouna
66'

out: B. Aaronson

in: D. James
66'

out: J. Harrison

in: L. Nmecha
73'

out: A. Stach

in: J. Piroe
77'

out: Z. Flemming

in: J. Laurent
81'

out: E. Ampadu

in: A. Tanaka
83'

out: L. Ugochukwu

in: H. Mejbri
83'

out: J. Anthony

in: A. Barnes
90' + 2'

Hannibal Mejbri
90' + 2'

Pascal Struijk

Round 8

Sat 18 Oct 2025, 17:00

Turf Moor, Burnley

Tim Robinson, England

Head-to-Head Comparison

Burnley

Leeds United

Strength

17%

83%
Attacking Potential

45%

55%
Defensive Potential

33%

67%
Strength head-to-head

38%

62%
Goals head-to-head

27%

73%
Wins head-to-head

38.7%

61.3%
Poisson Distribution

72%

28%

Last 5 Head-to-Head Meetings

Round 29

2025-01-27

Turf Moor

J. Smith

Burnley

0 - 0

Leeds
Round 5

2024-09-14

Elland Road

J. Bell

Leeds

0 - 1

Burnley
Round 21

2022-01-02

Elland Road

P. Tierney

Leeds

3 - 1

Burnley
Round 3

2021-08-29

Turf Moor

M. Oliver

Burnley

1 - 1

Leeds
Round 36

2021-05-15

Turf Moor

G. Scott

Burnley

0 - 4

Leeds

Another battle of outsiders will take place on October 18 at Turf Moor, where Burnley host Leeds United. Personally, I often find these types of games more entertaining than showdowns between England’s giants.

After seven rounds, Burnley sit 18th with only four points – earned through a win over Sunderland and a draw against Nottingham Forest. Their main issue is the defense: they concede heavily, averaging more than two goals per match.

Leeds United are doing a little better. With 8 points (2 wins and 2 draws), they occupy 15th place. There isn’t much to praise about their performances this season, and the 5–0 defeat to Arsenal in Round 2 is still fresh in fans’ memories.

Burnley vs Leeds United: Best Odds

⚽ ️ Bookmaker	⚡️ Total Over 2,5	💎 Total Under 2,5
⚽ ️ Stake	2.20	1.65
⚽ ️ 20Bet	2.20	1.65
⚽ ️ Betway	2.19	1.67
⚽ ️ SpinBet	2.25	1.62
⚽ ️ Bet 365	2.20	1.66

Prediction for the Burnley vs Leeds United

These two teams are not known for strong defending, and both are desperate for points to move closer to mid-table safety. That’s why I expect attacking football from both sides with plenty of goals. My recommendation: bet on over 2.5 goals.

Match Winner
Home	3.40
Draw	3.25
Away	2.20